Development of a New Method of Short-term Forecasting of River Floods Based on Wavelet Analysis
Jan Franklin Adamowski, Warsaw University of Technology, Institute of Environmental Engineering Systems, Faculty of Water Systems and Hydrology, Warsaw, Poland
Accurate flood forecasts are an integral component of non-structural sustainable water resource management. The importance of accurate flood forecasts has increased significantly over the last few years as extreme events have become more frequent and more severe due to climate change. However, recent floods around the world illustrate the difficulties of forecasting individual flood events and have demonstrated the need for better forecasting methodologies. In the seminar, I will present the findings of my most recent research, which has resulted in the development of a new method of short-term forecasting of river floods based on wavelet analysis. Results from three case studies indicate that the proposed wavelet based forecasting method provides highly accurate short-term river flood forecasts when compared to other ‘traditional’ and ‘state-of-the-art’ flood forecasting methods. The proposed wavelet based forecasting method has the potential to be applied to a wide variety of issues in applied hydrology.
In addition, a brief outline of the status and problems of water resources in Cyprus will be presented, along with some potential research topics dealing with water issues in Cyprus.